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Foreign Policy

What an Italian murder trial tells us about the disinformation war around the Ukrainian conflict

As the world is once again assisting to new rising tensions in eastern Ukraine following increased Russian military activity at the border, recent developments in an Italian murder trial remind us that the Ukrainian war should not alarm only at tanks and military personnel movements. Even the judiciary systems of democratic countries, in fact, might […]

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Foreign Policy

Scenario 3: The gradual liberation

The political process in Belarus is driven by a willingness to be independent, civil society’s engagement, end of the resilience of Lukashenko’s regime. The opposition relocates its main focus from street pressure to economic sabotage. The recovery of massive strikes in different economic industries, from essential state enterprises (such as potash fertilizer producer ‘Belaruskali’) to […]

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Foreign Policy

Scenario 2: Strengthening of Lukashenko and assertive Russia

The narrative which associated Alexander Lukashenko with the state functioning prevails; the sustainability of state institutions for the sake of sovereignty becomes the central motive to stop protests. In February, the all-Belarusian National Assembly provided a plan for constitutional reform that on the one hand is intended to give more political wage to Lukashenko, and […]

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Foreign Policy

Ukraine bans several pro-Russian TV-channels. A start of political campaign.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has put into effect the National Security and Defense Council’s (NSDC) decision on the application of personal special economic and other restrictive measures. The corresponding decree No. 29/2021 has been published on the website of the President’s Office. 112 Ukraine, NewsOne and Zik TV channels are actually owned by Viktor Medvechuk, […]

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Foreign Policy

Scenario 1: Strengthening of Lukashenko and non-assertive Russia

The main issue affecting Belarus is frustration; the imminence of penalties cements security forces around Lukashenko. Lukashenko remains the main unifying figure on the political stage in Belarus. He continues the politics of blurring of Belarusian national identity through the marginalization of the nationalistic wing of the opposition. More than 33 thousand protestors are temporarily […]

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Foreign Policy geopolitics Russia and Caucasus Observatory

Nagorno Karabakh: Georgian troubled position

On November 9th, Armenia and Azerbaijan, with the support of the Russian Federation, signed a ceasefire agreement which marks the umpteenth stop in a conflict that lasts since 1992. The situation is now calm, but not peaceful and this patch of Caucasian land shows now one of the World’s highest density of troops, from four […]

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Foreign Policy

Moldovan presidential election. A chance for change.

Moldova was at crossroads again, as the presidential elections that took place on the first of  November, on the one hand, offer a little hope of overcoming old divisions, while on the other hand put the country onto the same separation line: namely, whether the state is with the West or the East. The first […]

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Commentaries Foreign Policy

2020 BiH Municipal Elections and their intrinsic illiberal inconsistences

For Bosnians, 2020 not only represents the year of Covid-19 outbreak like the rest of the world. As a matter of fact, it is somehow a special year: amid the emergency, citizens have been called out to express their votes for the new municipal elections. The presence of international organisations still operating in the country, […]

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Commentaries Foreign Policy geopolitics Governance and Multilateralism

The resignation of Hashim Thaci: what is at stake for Kosovo?

Last week, the President of Kosovo Thaci announced his resignation after confirming his indictment for war and crimes against humanity committed when he was commander of the Kosovo Liberation Army. The case before the Kosovo war tribunal in The Hague marks a pivotal step for justice and the rule of law in Kosovo. What kind […]

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Foreign Policy

A stolen state: Another victory of Vladimir Putin

The latest parliamentary election which was held on the 30th of August 2020 in Montenegro has jeopardized not only the state’s democratic transformation, but also challenged international stability and security by posing a threat to NATO indirectly. The drama of the new political split lies in the fact that on the one hand, a de […]